Top 250 Prospects Update: May 1, 2011

Top 250 Prospects Update: May 1, 2011

Here is this week’s version of the top 250 prospects update.  The moves on this list are more aggressive than usual because we are still learning how much players should move based on recent performance.  It’s also worth mentioning several changes are not based solely on this week, especially several involving the ‘2011 draftees (spent more time reading about it last week).  Hope y’all enjoy the list.  As always, feedback is appreciated and we’re happy to answer any questions.

1. Bryce Harper—OF, Nationals
2. Mike Trout—OF, Angels
3. Aroldis Chapman—P, Reds
4. Eric Hosmer—1B, Royals (+2)
5. Anthony Rendon—3B, Rice Univ. (-1)
6. Jeremy Hellickson—P, Rays (-2)
7. Julio Teheran—P, Braves
8. Michael Pineda—P, Mariners (+5)
An early-season ROY candidate w/ a 2.01 ERA through 31 innings.
9. Jesus Montero—C, Yankees
10. Gerrit Cole—P, UCLA
11. Zach Britton—P, Orioles
12. Domonic Brown—OF, Phillies
13. Mike Moustakas— 3B, Royals (-2)
14. Dustin Ackley—2B, Mariners (-5)
Ackley is struggling early, but like last season, I expect a bounce-back.
15. Desmond Jennings—OF, Rays
16. Wil Myers—OF, Royals
17. Kyle Drabek—P, Blue Jays (-5)
18. Jameson Taillon—P, Pirates
19. Manny Machado—SS, Orioles
20. Jacob Turner— P, Tigers
21. Lonnie Chisenhall—3B, Indians
22. Shelby Miller—P, Cardinals (-4)
23. Kyle Gibson—P, Twins
24. Matt Moore—P, Rays (-6)
ERA is over 5 in AA, but the BB numbers are good…problem looks like an abnormal # of HR’s.
25. Freddie Freeman—1B, Braves
26. Yu Darvish—P, Japan
27. Manny Banuelos—P, Yankees
28. Mike Minor—P, Braves
29. Brett Jackson—OF, Cubs (-5)
30. Brett Lawrie—3B, Blue Jays
31. Martin Perez—P, Rangers (+5)
32. Mike Montgomery—P, Royals
33. Jordan Lyles—P, Astros (+5)
Astros prospect has done extremely well in his last few starts in AAA.
34. Nick Franklin—SS, Mariners (-8)
35. Jennry Mejia—P, Mets (+4)
36. Devin Mesoraco—C, Reds
37. Drew Pomeranz—P, Indians
38. Wilin Rosario—C, Rockies (-7)
39. Jonathan Singleton—1B, Phillies
40. Jarrod Parker—P, Diamondbacks
41. Sonny Gray—P, Vanderbilt
42. Miguel Sano—3B, Twins
43. Jarred Cosart—P, Phillies
44. Dee Gordon—SS, Dodgers
45. Craig Kimbrel—P, Braves
46. Alex White—P, Indians (+4)
47. Brandon Belt—1B, Giants (+2)
48. Jerry Sands—OF, Dodgers
49. Aaron Hicks—OF, Twins (-7)
50. Grant Green—SS, Athletics (-19)
The numbers aren’t awful, but I was expecting a better start.
51. Casey Kelly—P, Padres
52. Taylor Jungmann—P, Univ of Texas
53. Chris Archer—P, Rays (-7)
54. John Lamb—P, Royals
55. Randall Delgado—P, Braves
56. Matt Barnes—P, UConn
57. Dellin Betances—P, Yankees
58. Anthony Rizzo—1B, Padres
59. Wilson Ramos— C, Nationals (+20)
.358 BA and last week’s 2 HR game is really encouraging for the Nationals’ rookie catcher.
60. Danny Duffy—P, Royals (+6)
61. Bubba Starling—OF, HS (Kan)
62. Jean Segura—2B, Angels (+7)
63. Hank Conger—C, Angels
64. Jason Kipnis—2B, Indians (-6)
65. Billy Hamilton—2B/SS, Reds (-7)
66. Yonder Alonso—1B, Reds
67. Jake Odorizzi—P, Royals (+15)
68. Zach Cox—3B, Cardinals (-10)
The .290 BA isn’t bad, but a 22/4 K to BB’s w/ only 2 extra base hits makes me nervous.
69. Jordan Walden—P, Angels (+6)
70. Zach Lee—P, Dodgers
71. Jose Iglesias—SS, Red Sox (-6)
72. Danny Espinosa—2B, Nationals
73. Trey McNutt—P, Cubs
74. Gary Sanchez—C, Yankees (-7)
75. Tyler Matzek—P, Rockies (-20)
Ughh….20 BB’s in 17 IP w/ an 8.31 ERA.
76. Danny Hultzen—P, UVA (+13)
77. Tyler Chatwood—P, Angels
78. Chris Sale—P, White Sox (-12)
79. Michael Choice—OF, Athletics (-5)
80. George Springer—OF, UConn (-11)
81. Yasmani Grandal—C, Reds (+22)
After a slow start, Grandal is now hitting around .300 with good power and 17 walks.
82. Derek Norris—C, Nationals (-6)
83. Brody Colvin—P, Phillies
84. Matthew Purke—P, TCU (-20)
A shoulder issue.  I still have no doubts about Purke’s ability, but it’s worth making sure he’s healthy.
85. Simon Castro— P, Padres (-30)
Castro has a 9.00 ERA through 25 IP’s b/c of walks and high BABIP.
86. Tony Sanchez—C, Pirates
87. Jurickson Profar—SS, Rangers (-2)
88. Anthony Ranaudo—P, Red Sox (-4)
89. JP Arencebia—C, Blue Jays
90. Chris Carter—1B/OF, Athletics (-20)
91. Christian Colon—SS, Royals (-7)
92. Brandon Beachy—P, Braves (+7)
93. Oswaldo Arcia—OF, Twins (+27)
A player I planned to move aggressively if he kept hitting, which is happening.
94. Dylan Bundy—P, HS (Ok)
95. Chris Dwyer—P, Royals
96. Matt Harvey—P, Mets (-2)
97. Trayvon Robinson—OF, Dodgers
98. Anthony Gose—OF, Blue Jays (-9)
99. Robbie Erlin—P, Rangers (+6)
100. Deck McGuire—P, Blue Jays
101. Trevor Bauer—P, UCLA
102. Matt Dominguez—3B, Marlins
103. Hak-Ju Lee—SS, Rays (+42)
We are slow getting on the bandwagon, but this guy is tearing up the FSL.
104. Zach Wheeler—P, Giants
105. Alexander Colome—P, Rays (+6)
106. Jaff Decker—OF, Padres
107. Archie Bradley—P, HS (Okl) (-30)
108. Daniel Norris—P, HS (Tenn)
109. Zach Stewart—P, Blue Jays
110. Arodys Vizcaino—P, Braves (-15)
111. Nick Weglarz—OF, Indians
112. Josh Sale—OF, Rays
113. Tyler Skaggs—P, Diamondbacks
114. Wilmer Flores—SS, Mets (-9)
115. Carlos Perez—C, Blue Jays (+7)
116. Aaron Crow—P, Royals (+9)
117. Jackie Bradley, Jr—OF, South Carolina (-40)
Now injured and probably out for the season…still a fan but this hasn’t been his year.
118. Nolan Arenado—3B, Rockies
119. Brent Morel—3B, White Sox (-15)
120. Austin Romine— C, Yankees (+6)
121. Jed Bradley—P, Georgia Tech
122. Felix Doubront—P, Red Sox
123. Jake McGee—P, Rays (-40)
Demoted to AAA…aggressive drop is due to it being unlikely he’ll close in the foreseeable future.
124. Ben Revere—OF, Twins (-6)
125. Kenny Diekroeger—INF, Stanford Univ (2012)
126. Rubby De La Rosa—P, Dodgers (+8)
127. Liam Henricks—P, Twins (+9)
128. Reymond Fuentes—OF, Padres
129. Guillermo Pimentel—OF, Mariners
130. Nick Castellanos—3B, Tigers (-13)
131. Travis D’Arnaud—C, Blue Jays (-25)
132. Tsuyoshi Nishioka—SS, Twins
133. Carlos Matias—P, Cardinals
134. Carlos Perez—P, Braves (-17)
135. Andrew Brackman—P, Yankees (-5)
136. Juan Francisco—3B, Reds
137. Adeiny Hechavarria—SS, Blue Jays (-6)
138. Norichika Aoki—OF, Japan
139. Alexander Torres—P, Rays
140. Garrett Richards—P, Angels
141. Joe Benson—OF, Twins
142. Christian Friedrich—P, Rockies
143. Karsten Whitson—P, Univ of Florida (2013) (-30)
144. Alfredo Despaigne—OF, Cuba
145. Delino Deshields—2B, Astros (+3)
146. Stetson Allie—P, Pirates
147. Mikie Mahtook—OF, LSU
148. Tanner Scheppers—P, Rangers (-40)
Returned from the DL for only one game…K-Law report re: his velocity makes me nervous.
149. Starling Marte—OF, Pirates (+10)
150. Enny Romero—P, Rays
151. Gary Brown—OF, Giants (+5)
152. Matt Lipka—SS, Braves
153. Jason Knapp—P, Indians
154. Allen Webster—P, Dodgers (+13)
155. Reese Havens—2B, Mets
156. Johnny Giavotella—2B, Royals
157. Francisco Linder—SS, HS (Fla) (+30)
HS prospect is almost unanimously projected to go in the first-half of round #1.
158. Chad James—P, Marlins
159. Luis Heredia—P, Pirates
160. Kaleb Cowart—3B, Angels
161. Engel Beltre—OF, Rangers (-44)
Suspended indefinitely for throwing a garbage can at fans…at least he finds creative ways to get suspended.
162. Jared Mitchell—OF, White Sox (-20)
Concerns involve how much speed he lost upon return from leg injury.
163. Jake Marinsick—OF, Blue Jays (+17)
164. Donavan Tate—OF, Padres (-10)
165. Alex Wimmers—P, Twins
166. Hisashi Iwakuma—P, Japan (+15)
167. Stolmy Pimentel—P, Red Sox (-27)
168. Marcell Ozuna—OF, Marlins
169. Jason Esposito—3B, Vanderbilt (-15)
170. Drake Britton—P, Red Sox (-15)
171. Tim Beckham—SS, Rays (-4)
172. Thomas Neal—OF, Giants
173. Keyvious Sampson—P, Padres (+10)
174. Andy Oliver—P, Tigers
175. Fabio Martinez-Mesa—P, Angels (-10)
Apparently yet to pitch this season…anyone know why he’s out?
176. Lance McCullers, Jr —P/INF, HS (Fla) (2012) (+7)
177. Kyle Parker—OF, Rockies
178. Adrian Salcedo—P, Twins
179. Yorman Rodriguez—OF, Reds
180. Miguel De Los Santos—P, Rangers (-30)
181. Austin Wilson—OF, Stanford Univ (2013)
182. Zach Cozart—SS, Reds
183. Alex Cobb—P, Rays (+8)
184. Michael Taylor—OF, Athletics (-20)
185. Mark Trumbo—1B, Angels (-23)
Hitting for some power but his BA and K/BB have both been rough.
186. Oscar Tejada—2B, Red Sox
187. Drew Cumberland—SS, Padres (-20)
Saw this article which made me sorta nervous re: Cumberland’s vertigo.
188. Scooter Gennett—2B, Brewers
189. Fernando Salas—P, Cardinals (new)
Salas now has two saves.  Not officially the closer but I’m thinking he will be.
190. Leonys Martin—OF, Rangers (+20)
191. Yamaico Navarro—2B, Red Sox (+10)
192. Robinson Yambati—P, Royals
193. Blake Swihart—C, HS (NM) (+7)
194. Jose Fernandez—P, HS (Fla)
195. Max Stassi—C, Athletics (-5)
196. Fernando Martinez—OF, Mets
197. James Darnell—3B, Padres (new)
Forgot Darnell wasn’t on the list…having a monster year in AA.
198. Chris Marrero—1B, Nationals
199. Francisco Peguero—OF, Giants (-25)
200. Brian Goodwin—OF, Miami-Dade CC (-50)
201. Josh Vitters—3B, Cubs (-30)
After a good start, beginning to struggle again in his second year in AA.
202. Chris Owings—SS, Diamondbacks
203. Xavier Avery—OF, Orioles
204. Drew Vettleson—OF, Rays
205. Yulieski Gourriel—3B, Cuba
206. Alex Meyer—P, Kentucky
207. Jed Gyorko—3B, Padres (+20)
Tearing up the California League…Padres have gotta be encouraged w/ Gyorko & Darnell.
208. Hector Noesi—P, Yankees (-20)
209. Michael Kirkman—P, Rangers (-47)
210. Tyson Ross—P, Athletics (+12)
211. Oscar Tavares—OF, Cardinals
212. AJ Cole—P, Nationals
213. Lars Anderson—1B, Red Sox
214. LJ Hoes—2B, Orioles (-30)
215. Edward Salcedo—SS, Braves
216. Hector Gomez—SS, Rockies
217. Justin O’Connor—C, Rays
218. Jeremy Jeffress—P, Royals
219. Kolbrin Vitek—3B, Red Sox (+10)
220. Joshua Bell—OF, HS (+30)
221. Brad Boxberger—P, Reds
222. Blake Tekotte—OF, Padres (+30)
223. Ivan Nova—P, Yankees (-60)
224. Nick Williams—OF, HS (Tex) (2012)
225. Tim Collins—P, Royals (-20)
226. Eric Thames—OF, Blue Jays (+20)
227. Mike Olt—3B, Rangers
228. Robbie Ross—P, Rangers
229. Andrew Susac—C, Oregon State
230. Neil Ramirez—P, Rangers (+12)
231. Tyrell Jenkins—P, Cardinals
232. Jose Dariel Abreu—1B, Cuba
233. Kenley Jansen—P, Dodgers (-60)
We should have dropped him more before…just doesn’t look like he’ll be the closer anytime soon.
234. Michael Burgess—OF, Cubs (-30)
235. Yoennis Cespedes—OF, Cuba
236. Will Middlebrooks—3B, Red Sox (new)
Above-slot signee from several years ago having a terrific season in AA.
237. Slade Heathcott—OF, Yankees (+12)
238. Paul Goldschmidt—1B, Diamondbacks
239. Matthew Davidson—3B, Diamondbacks
240. Dave Sappelt—OF, Reds (+8)
241. Henry Owens—P, HS (Cal)
242. Trevor Reckling—P, Angels
243. Rudy Owens—P, Pirates (-12)
244. Yordano Ventura—P, Royals
245. Hiroyuki Nakajima—SS, Japan
246. Charlie Blackmon—OF, Rockies (new)
Rockies OF hitting .332 w/ 6 HR’s in AAA should get MLB opportunity reasonably soon.
247. Cesar Puello—OF, Mets
248. Noel Arguelles—P, Royals (new)
Cuban defector finally healthy after receiving huge bonus several years ago…pitching really well.
249. Christian Yelich—OF, Marlins
250. Jose Atulve—2B Astros (new)
Perhaps a questionable add …but check out the numbers for undersized Astro and Kevin Goldstein favorite.

Demoted: Alex Dickerson—OF—Univ. of Indiana (#170), Phil Evans—SS, HS (Cal.) (#198), Tyler Anderson—P, Oregon (#222), Lucas Duda—OF, Mets (#237), Yordy Cabrera—3B, Athletics (#247), John Stilson—P, Texas A&M (#250), Randal Grichuk—OF, Angels, Jonathan Villar (#251), Matt Lollis—P, Padres (#253)

Also considered: Jonathan Schoop (3B, Orioles), JD Martinez (OF, Astros), TiJuan Walker (P, Mariners), Edwardo Sanchez (P, Cardinals), Jonathan Villar (SS—Astros), Ariel Ovando (OF, Astros), Eury Perez (OF, Nationals), Aaron Sanchez (P, Blue Jays), Jake Thompson (P, Rays), Chen-Wei Yin (P, Japan), and Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez (P, Cuba).