Two weeks later, a new edition of our top 100 prospects, mini consensus ranked. This set has the rankings from Brian B., Brian T., Geo007, and myself. Without going too long winded into what we changed, here’s the new features that we decided to add (per our minds or the requests of you): Removing all prospects ON PACE to graduate by the end of the year, and removing injured players (to not take up space) and giving their projected ranking with them. Remember, with the prospects graduating the prospects will naturally rise anywhere for 3-15 spots without performing better/worse than usual just because they have to move up. While Profar’s 3 spot jump isn’t necessarily huge (someone had to move up to #1), Teheran’s fall to #13 (down 5 spots) is a lot larger in magnitude with more prospects passing him. Without further adieu, your newest top 100 prospect lists (sans any 2012 MLB Draftees) awaits below.
Rank. Name - POS, Team (Change) Comment
1. Jurickson Profar – SS, TEX (+3)
-Solid May .322/.385/.513, held an incredible 50 game On Base streak
2. Dylan Bundy – SP, BAL (+5)
-Promotion to A+ as he dominated Low-A
3. Trevor Bauer – SP, ARI (+7)
-If he can conquer his curve’s location, he’ll be nearly unhittable
4. Taijuan Walker – SP, SEA (+10)
5. Wil Myers – OF, KC (+8)
-In 17 games in Triple A, has 20 H, half of which are XB (5 HR)
6. Shelby Miller – SP, STL
7. Gerrit Cole – SP, PIT
8. Oscar Taveras – OF, STL (+14)
-Tearing the cover off the ball everywhere he goes, and hasn’t stopped flying up boards
9. Travis d’Arnaud – C, TOR (+7)
10. Francisco Lindor – SS, CLE (+14)
-Has tailed off significantly as of late, the recent excitement about Lindor reached a fever point
11. Jameson Taillon – SP, PIT
12. Manny Machado – SS, BAL
13. Julio Teheran – SP, ATL (-5)
-A little less dominant than last year (2.55 ERA, 3.0 BB/9, 7.6 K/9 to 2012′s 3.15, 3.5, 7.1) but still very young
14. Zack Wheeler – SP, NYM (+19)
-Extremely impressive May (4-0 with an ERA of 2.00, 30kk/7bb ratio)
15. Danny Hultzen – SP, SEA
16. Archie Bradley – SP, ARI
17. Nick Castellanos – 3B, DET (+35)
-2 months of over .400 hitting, he has been amazing so far
18. Nolan Arenado – 3B, COL
19. Christian Yelich – OF, MIA (+13)
20. Anthony Rizzo – 1B, CHC (+16)
-10 HRs in May with a .326/.402/.758 line
21. Billy Hamilton – 2B/SS, CIN (+13)
-Hitting .330 (.411 OBP) with 62 SB in 221 ABs
22. Jake Marisnick – OF, TOR
23. Tyler Skaggs - SP, ARI
24. Jacob Turner – SP, DET
25. George Springer – OF, HOU
26. Miguel Sano – 3B, MIN
27. Carlos Martinez – SP, STL
28. Bubba Starling – OF, KC (-10)
29. Jake Odorizzi – SP, KC (+15)
30. Jonathan Singleton – 1B, HOU (+16)
-Turned on the power in May with 7HRs and 24 RBIs
31. Xander Bogaerts – SS, BOS
32. Noah Syndergaard – SP, TOR (+23)
-Solid pitching and is a KK machine, which is great for fantasy
33. Yasmani Grandal – C, SD (+15)
34. Nick Franklin – SS, SEA (+23)
-Could get a promotion soon to Triple-A as he’s been doing very well in AA
35. Kolten Wong – 2B, STL (+19)
36. Robbie Erlin – SP, SD (+15)
37. Matt Harvey – SP, NYM
38. James Paxton – SP, SEA
39. Jean Segura – 2B/SS, LAA
40. Manny Banuelos – SP, NYY
41. Trevor Story – SS, COL (+55)
-He’s got 10 HR this year from SS and a decent chance to stick, hitting .300 as well
42. Matt Barnes – SP, BOS (+30)
43.Jose Fernandez – SP, MIA (+48)
-Shaken the “closer” projection from the draft, and his numbers have been dominant in Low-A
44. Gary Sanchez - C, NYY
45. Trevor May – SP, PHI (+18)
46. Aaron Sanchez – SP, TOR (+37)
-Ranking is just catching up with the numbers and talent
47. Martin Perez – SP, TEX
48. Brett Jackson – OF, CHC
49. Javier Baez – SS, CHC (+12)
50. Daniel Norris – SP, TOR (+20)
-See Aaron Sanchez (#46)
51. Jesse Biddle — SP, PHI (+50)
-Projectable lefty striking out 10/ 9IP, with an ERA of 2.51
52. Starling Marte – OF, PIT (+10)
53. Gary Brown – OF, SFG (-14)
-Continues to struggle with only 1HR this season so far
54. Josh Bell – OF, PIT
55. Brad Peacock – SP, OAK
56. Eddie Rosario – 2B/3B, MIN (+28)
57. Cody Buckel — SP, TEX (+44)
-His numbers have been strikingly good, and he’s not getting extremely lucky putting them up
58. Mason Williams – OF, NYY (+41)
-Toolsy, hitting nearly .300 with 14 SB and 3 HRs
59. Leonys Martin – OF, TEX
60. Zach Lee – SP, LAD
61. Michael Choice – OF, OAK
62. Cory Spangenberg – 3B, SD
63. Mike Olt – 3B, TEX (+12)
-HRs sit at 17, with bombs flying off in his last few games. Could be a fantastic trade chip
64. Jared Cosart – SP, HOU
65. Toni Cingrani — SP, CIN (+36)
-Recent promotion to Double A is an acknowledgement that Cingrani has been great so far
66. Rymer Liriano – OF, SD
67. Justin Nicolino – SP, TOR
68. Taylor Lindsey — 2B, LAA (+33)
-Playing well above his age, and holding his own with a .281 average
69. Jedd Gyorko – 2B/3B, SD (+18)
70. Daniel Corcino – SP, CIN (+31)
-Slightly underrated so far, so jumping on the list fast here at number 70
71. Hak-Ju Lee – SS, TB
-Still not showing signs of breaking out, I’m hopeful he doesn’t turn into Iglesias+
72. A.J. Cole – SP, OAK (-19)
-Control has killed him so far this year, but the stuff has been there
73. Anthony Gose – OF, TOR (-9)
74. Tyrell Jenkins – SP, STL
75. Rougned Odor – 2B, TEX (+26)
-Pending results on his separated shoulder, but he’s been really hot recently pre-injury
76. Taylor Guerrieri – SP, TB
77. Jose Campos – SP, NYY (+18)
78. Taylor Jungmann — SP, MIL (+23)
79. Wilmer Flores — SS, NYM (+22)
-Flores is on fire, a highly underrated prospect in the Mets’ organization
80. Austin Hedges — C, SD (+21)
-Defensively, he’s a stud but his bat is really coming around
81. Cheslor Cuthbert – 3B, KC (-8)
82. Matt Davidson – 3B, ARI (+19)
83. Jackie Bradley Jr. — OF, BOS (+18)
-Great numbers, but is 22 in Low-A ball so should be hitting well
84. Sonny Gray – SP, OAK (-7)
85. Tim Wheeler – OF, COL (-7)
86. Mikie Mahtook – OF, TB (+15)
87. Yordano Ventura — SP, KC (+14)
-Established himself as the 2nd best SP in the KC System
88. Nestor Molina — SP, CWS (+13)
89. Zack Cox – 3B, STL (-9)
90. Tyler Austin — 3B, NYY (+11)
-He’s got All-Star potential, just needs to work his K’s down. Upside is enormous
91. Jonathan Schoop – 3B, BAL
92. Andrelton Simmons — SS, ATL (+9)
-Defense is awesome, bat could provide .280 with 10-12 HRs
93. Christian Benthancourt – C, ATL (+8)
94. Casey Kelly – SP, SD
95. Dante Bichette Jr. – 3B, NYY
96. Jed Bradley — SP, MIN (+5)
97. Matt Szczur — OF, CHC (+4)
98. Chad Bettis — SP, COL (+3)
99. Luis Heredia — SP, PIT (+2)
-Astonishingly young pitching full season ball, could be an ACE or could bust
100. Joe Ross — SP, SD (+1)
Newcomers on the List
Jesse Biddle (51), Cody Buckel (57), Toni Cingrani (65), Taylor Lindsey (68), Daniel Corcino (70), Rougned Odor (75), Taylor Jungmann (78), Wilmer Flores (79), Austin Hedges (80), Matt Davidson (82), Jackie Bradley Jr. (83), Mikie Mahtook (86), Yordano Ventura (87), Nestor Molina (88), Tyler Austin (90), Andrelton Simmons (92), Christian Benthancourt (93), Jed Bradley (96), Matt Szczur (97), Chad Bettis (98), Luis Heredia (99), Joe Ross (100)
Fallers off the List
Ryan Lavarnaway (76), Mike Montgomery (89), Dellin Betances (98),
Graduates (must be at least under consideration for Top 100)
Bryce Harper, Mike Trout, Matt Moore, Jesus Montero, Devin Mesoraco, Drew Pomeranz, Jarrod Parker, Yonder Alonso, Randall Delgado, Will Middlebrooks, Joe Wieland, WIlin Rosario, Zack Cozart, Drew Smyly, Lance Lynn, Drew Hutchinson, Matt Adams, Addison Reed, Nathan Eovaldi
Injuries (must be out for season)
Anthony Rendon (projected rank of 25), Arodys Vizcaino (projected rank of 54)
Thanks for reading, comment below!
@Zup
100% it’s Gibson. No brainer.
@Me
Remember, he’s 21 in AAA. No different than Julio Teheran struggling but being young. I am a tad worried that his fastball is in the low 90s and not mid 90s. Its got great movement but those few extra ticks make it from great to elite. 11 seems about right for him. Its a pitcher heavy top of the list, specialness when hitter perform (Taveras, Myers) they fly up.
@Zip
Gotta be Gibson. Mid rotation upside, he’s still clinging to pre TJ hype of a #2 starter that I don’t see. The others have more promise and talent than him.
Gotta drop one of these guys…Barret Loux, Chris archer, Cody buckel, Kyle Gibson, Justin Grimm, Alex Meyer or aj cole. Any thoughts on who? Obviously it’s a deeper league (20 ml guys).
Thanks!
One man’s humble opinion 2011 re-do
1. Bauer
2. Bundy
3. Lindor
4. Cole
5. Hultzen
6. Rendon
7. Starling
8. Springer
9. Barnes
10. Bradley
I can’t wait for the APP league to start!! just a few more days…here is where you should be looking for DEEP league players! I will be all over this league for plucking players for my team.
You can follow one team and see 10 “potential” top 100 prospects for the future. eg: Bluefield Blue Jays (pitchers: Comer, Musgrove, Norris, Osuna, Gabryszewski and Murphy. IF: Matt Dean, C. Lopes and D.Thon Jr. OF: Anderson and Smith Jr.)
Craig Goldstein had Shelby Miller as his number 11 pitcher for his mid season rankings. How do you feel about that? Is his lack of production something to be worried about as a dynasty owner?
some of the reasons why I’ve loved this site for the last couple of years was the international rankings on your lists. (thank you for cespedes last year!)
Sooooo….what’s your thoughts on Puig? Better or worse of a prospect than Soler? I know its hard to sometimes get scouting reports on these guys but any info would help. I’ve liked what I’ve heard so far!
Absolute must in deeper keeper leagues, no?
Well if I’m drafting 5th, Rendon has shown me still the ability to hit for average, power, and really just be a great all-star caliber hitter. Springer’s K/BB scares me enough to make him pick 8, but not pick 5. Someone like Fernandez definitely deserves consideration, but the other 5 in there are IMO higher ceiling guys with comparable upside to Fernandez. Wong doesn’t have the superstar potential that Rendon does (that I’d want to take in the top 5).
1. Bundy
2. Hultzen
3. Bauer
4. Cole
5. Lindor
6. Rendon
7. Fernandez
8. Bradley
9. Baez
10. Barnes
HM: Wong, Springer, Starling (will make the list if he gets off to a good start), Swihart
As good as the 2011 draft has been as we consider a list, so many good players havent even played yet? I can wait until XST is over and the shortened seasons start!
Haha. I’ve always wondered why, on occassional lists posted on the comment board, people would put a smiley face next to a player’s name rather than a number. That explains it!
Apparently, an 8 and a close parenthesis means cool smile face. I meant it as 8th.
Re: 2011 Redux
Mine:
1) Bauer
2) Cole
3) Bundy
4) Rendon
5) Hultzen
6) Lindor
7) Baez
8) Fernandez
9) Springer
10) A. Bradley
HM (1st Round, no order) Starling, Wong, Barnes, J. Bradley, Chafin, Story, Howard, Norris, Gagnon, Cingrani, Crick, Spangenberg, Nimmo
kyle, i’d swap Gerritt Cole with Matt Barnes, or at least put Barnes in the honorable mention. Not sure how Rendon gets an HM when he’s been injured all year. I realize he had a stellar college career, but Jose Fernandez, Matt Barnes, George Springer and Kolten Wong have had productive minor league seasons so far.
If I’m doing a re-draft those guys look more valuable given Rendon’s propensity for injury.
As a royals fan, I am excited that Bubba Starling will be starting short season ball in Burlington this week.
Interesting Question for the masses:
If you could have a do-over on the 2011 MLB Draft, what would your top 5 look like?
Mine:
1. Dylan Bundy
2. Danny Hultzen
3. Trevor Bauer
4. Gerrit Cole
5. Francisco Lindor
HM: Javier Baez, Anthony Rendon
It’s not just Archie Bradley that is dropping off…It seems most of the 2011 draft pitchers have cooled off a bit, especially the H/S’ers. Perhaps fatigue is kicking in? Or batters are finally catching up to the pitchers? or even some advance scouting has pointed out some habits that batters can catch?
I have noticed the balance have shifted a bit this month, it’s odd?!? Slow hitters have got their groove back and on fire pitchers have come back to earth with their numbers.
I definitely remember, I have been watching Archie Bradley’s starts. He is at 64 IP, should top out at 100 at most for the season. In a perfect world, Arizona will want to move him through A+->AA and 130+ IP next year. I would like to see him iron things out, but if this continues his 2013 will look more like 100 IP A->A+. He has 9-13 starts left this year. I’d like to see him do well. That is easy to say.
Just in his own league, Ben Wells, and Joseph Ross(finally 100!) should get promotions easily and are both younger than him.
Blake Swihart, now that is someone that has ironed things out after a poor start.
To Nick in Cincinnati re: Travis Snider
There should be AAAA as a level in the minors for a player like Travis Snider(yes 4 “A”s). He dominates the minors but struggles in the majors. The MAIN issue with the Jays keeping him in the minors is that if they recall him, they can’t send him back if he struggles unless he clears waivers (which will not happen). So the fact that he has had some minor injuries this season just means he will probably spend the entire year in AAA Las Vegas.
Being a Jays fan from Toronto and having seen him live, I love the potential that Snider brings to the plate. He had potential every spring in the majors to be a 30/100 player and for some reason he gets derailed. I noticed that pitchers find a way to get him out and he has never adjusted to them. Scouts and experts here state that his swing has or needs to be reconstructed, but I have not seen any changes, minimal at best.
As far as potential or where he’s on a prospects list it is tough to determine. I know when he was around 19-20yrs old he was considered a top 10-15 player. But knowing how he struggles in the majors with small hot streaks and long cold streaks, I think he would be considered a top 50 prospect now, perhaps 40 if you are looking at his power potential, as he can hit the ball a mile.
@MHz
Good point, his move up was mostly due to the fact that he was approximately the same value and 7-8 guys above him got moved out. So he had nowhere to move but up. I think he’ll be reflected in our next rankings. I do think he’s a top 25 prospect regardless, just out of pure potential. Remember he’s a year out of HS right now, and in his first year of pitching in pro-ball. He’ll be ironing things out as he goes really.
BTW, our next list will include all the players that have signed contracts from the 2012 MLB Draft, so Correa/Zimmer/Buxton will all be on there!
Archie Bradley!
Since being mentioned in the comments on May 25th to drop from 21st(now 16th…!):
3 GS
14 IP
11 H
14 R
11 ER
1 HR
11 BB
6 K
7.07 ERA
June 10th start:
Fort Wayne Bottom of the 5th
Duanel Jones walks.
Kyle Gaedele called out on strikes.
Jace Peterson singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tom Belza. Duanel Jones to 2nd.
Travis Whitmore reaches on force attempt, throwing error by pitcher Archie Bradley. Duanel Jones scores. Jace Peterson to 2nd.
Casey McElroy walks. Jace Peterson to 3rd. Travis Whitmore to 2nd.
Pitcher Change: Willy Paredes replaces Archie Bradley.
Here’s a fresh piece on Cingrani’s developing secondaries from MiLB.com:
http://www.milb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20120608&content_id=32988042&fext=.jsp&vkey=news_milb
I actually ran across this after I posted a response, but I think it pretty much adheres to what I wrote previously
Cheers,
Brian