I’m going to come up with some hypothetical trades between minor league players that we can use to value them against each other. Almost a prospect comparison, but a little more complex than that. I’ll give you three trades, and you tell me which side you would pick and why.
These trades are purely hypothetical, and I am not seeking advice. I’m just interested to see if this intrigues anybody. Assume that each team has mediocre MLB hitting and pitching (average on both accounts) with decent minor league depth (no spot will be left barren). Pitchers and hitters are weighted equally in the league.
A: Xander Bogaerts and George Springer
B: Javier Baez and Jorge Soler
A: Jedd Gyorko and Albert Almora
B: Nick Franklin and Gregory Polanco
A: Lucas Giolito and Nolan Arenado
B: Julio Teheran and Joey Gallo
These are three interesting trades. I tried to pick some higher upside players and some safer players to compare and mix and match for these deals. My personal opinion would be:
A: Bogaerts/Springer. I think Bogaerts is going to be dominant and Springer will be an above average player. I just have too many questions about Baez and Soler to see both of them become stars. This is very even, but I give my nod to X-man and Springer.
A: Gyorko/Almora. I think this one tore me a little bit. Over the past few months I’ve grown more fond of Gyorko and less fond of Franklin. Gyorko seems like he’s going to be an above average regular at the majors level and Almora has the tools and polish to negate Polanco.
B: Teheran/Gallo. I’m gonna take the power and the closeness to the majors here. I believe in Teheran bouncing back more than I believe in a young pitcher, because Teheran has at least done it before. And I don’t like Arenado all too much, but Gallo at least intrigues me as a 3B version of Adam Dunn. Mark Reynolds 2.0?
The point of this exercise is to see everyone’s biases. If you’re biased towards the elite upsides, then go with Baez/Soler. I’m looking to see how the community values players in general, but more than just a one versus one. I’m looking at how the community will approach trades, whether they are gonna target the higher upside or safer, or if they play positional scarcity as a large factor. So please leave your thoughts!!